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PoliticsactiveЗавершение: 31 июл. 2026 г.

Trump out as President before GTA VI?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump ceases to be the President of the U.S. for any period of time before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive. An announcement of Trump's resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, will not count. The resolution source for Trump leaving the presidency will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Да

50%

$0.495

Нет

51%

$0.505

Объем

702,9 тыс. $

Ликвидность

73,8 тыс. $

Торговый тикет

Live
Ожидаемое исполнение$0.495
Объем сделки12,38 $
Возможная прибыль12,63 $
Проскальзывание0%

График цены YES

История вероятности, объема и ликвидности. Источник live/fallback Polymarket.

Стакан заявок

02:58
ПокупкиПродажи
$0.0103765.637.7
3722.33759.9$0.990
$0.0201558.531.2
1519.01550.0$0.980
$0.030500.015.0
489.9505.1$0.970
$0.040250.010.0
2640.02750.0$0.960
$0.0602416.7145.0
837.0900.0$0.930
$0.0708.00.6
6.16.7$0.920
$0.0902788.0250.9
2340.02600.0$0.900
$0.100900.090.0
580.3667.0$0.870
$0.130667.086.7
960.01200.0$0.800
$0.170500.085.0
3.85.0$0.750
$0.21020.34.3
21.629.6$0.730
$0.260300.078.0
13.122.9$0.570
ВремяСторонаИсходЦенаКонтракты
10:22:47ПокупкаНет$0.49025.0
10:21:27ПродажаДа$0.49433.0
10:20:07ПокупкаДа$0.49841.0
10:18:47ПродажаНет$0.50249.0
10:17:27ПокупкаДа$0.50657.0
10:16:07ПродажаДа$0.51065.0
10:14:47ПокупкаНет$0.51473.0
10:13:27ПродажаДа$0.51881.0
10:12:07ПокупкаДа$0.52289.0
10:10:47ПродажаНет$0.52697.0

Правила расчета

Рынок рассчитывается по официальным источникам Polymarket. Победный исход получает $1 за контракт, проигравший - $0.

Сделок

5 858

Трейдеров

1 081

Связанные рынки

Объем
871,4 тыс. $
Ликвидность
8,4 тыс. $
Спред
3%
Окончание
31 июл. 2026 г.
+1%1 341 трейдеров
Объем
749,4 тыс. $
Ликвидность
5,9 тыс. $
Спред
1%
Окончание
31 июл. 2026 г.
+0%1 153 трейдеров
Объем
11,9 млн $
Ликвидность
237,7 тыс. $
Спред
1%
Окончание
31 июл. 2026 г.
+0%18 265 трейдеров