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GeneralactiveЗавершение: 31 дек. 2025 г.

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?

This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time." If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Да

7%

$0.068

Нет

93%

$0.932

Объем

201,1 тыс. $

Ликвидность

2,7 тыс. $

Торговый тикет

Dry-run
Ожидаемое исполнение$0.068
Объем сделки1,69 $
Возможная прибыль23,31 $
Проскальзывание0%

График цены YES

История вероятности, объема и ликвидности. Источник live/fallback Polymarket.

Стакан заявок

20:30
ПокупкиПродажи
$0.0011719.41.7
65.365.4$0.999
$0.00213.70.0
27.727.8$0.998
$0.006300.01.8
3969.94010.0$0.990
$0.00743.70.3
21.822.1$0.989
$0.051684.334.9
1409.21483.3$0.950
$0.05287.04.5
4.95.2$0.949
$0.05420.01.1
564.0600.0$0.940
$0.05515.00.8
905.41006.0$0.900
$0.060145.08.7
12.714.1$0.899
---
320.0400.0$0.800
---
99.9129.9$0.769
---
201.8273.8$0.737
ВремяСторонаИсходЦенаКонтракты
17:47:38ПокупкаНет$0.49025.0
17:46:18ПродажаДа$0.49433.0
17:44:58ПокупкаДа$0.49841.0
17:43:38ПродажаНет$0.50249.0
17:42:18ПокупкаДа$0.50657.0
17:40:58ПродажаДа$0.51065.0
17:39:38ПокупкаНет$0.51473.0
17:38:18ПродажаДа$0.51881.0
17:36:58ПокупкаДа$0.52289.0
17:35:38ПродажаНет$0.52697.0

Правила расчета

Рынок рассчитывается по официальным источникам Polymarket. Победный исход получает $1 за контракт, проигравший - $0.

Сделок

1 676

Трейдеров

309

Связанные рынки

Да

54%

Нет

46%

Объем
730,5 тыс. $
Ликвидность
9,4 тыс. $
Спред
2%
Окончание
31 июл. 2026 г.
+1%1 124 трейдеров

Да

54%

Нет

47%

Объем
733,8 тыс. $
Ликвидность
7,3 тыс. $
Спред
3%
Окончание
31 июл. 2026 г.
+2%1 129 трейдеров

Да

49%

Нет

52%

Объем
11,4 млн $
Ликвидность
390,1 тыс. $
Спред
1%
Окончание
31 июл. 2026 г.
+0%17 507 трейдеров